Politico Notes Biden’s Dementia/Age

Well, others have said the same thing, but I noted it as well, here:

  • BETS? Over/Under bets? I think Biden will last until no later than Nov. 11th of 2021, probably 6-months, and then step down. Then his socialist VP takes over the Presidency. (RPT November 8th, 2020)

But 6-months is a safe bet — 3-and-a-half- years seems like the number — in political and Christian time at least. This is what Dems really want. They worship the “Liberal Trinity,” race-class-gender — and Harris is their current idol. Why did they change the 25th Amendment? Making it easier to remove a sitting President? I think Trump will win on this as well (emphasis added):

(October 9, 2020) President Trump on Friday agreed with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi that her plan for a 25th Amendment commission to evaluate presidential fitness isn’t really aimed at him — saying it was instead a plot to install Kamala Harris in the White House.

Trump tweeted that Congressional Democrats secretly hope to replace Democratic nominee Joe Biden with his much-younger running mate if they successfully deny him and Vice President Mike Pence a second term in the Nov. 3 election.

“Crazy Nancy Pelosi is looking at the 25th Amendment in order to replace Joe Biden with Kamala Harris,” he told his 87 million Twitter followers.

“The Dems want that to happen fast because Sleepy Joe is out of it!!!”

Trump later doubled down on the theory during a virtual campaign rally on conservative radio host Rush Limbaugh’s talk show……

(NEW YORK POST)

All that to set up POLITICO noting Joe Biden’s dementia (RPT, March 6, 2020) via RIGHT SCOOP: (January 20, 2020)

WRITING A SPEECH FOR BIDEN CAN BE HELL. AND THAT WAS BEFORE THE INAUGURAL.

Joe Biden paces as he dictates long portions of his speeches to aides, spinning out thoughts that quickly pile into six, seven or eight paragraphs of copy, only to later be scrapped.

[….]

“I would never say this,” Biden once snapped at an aide, aghast over the prepared remarks he was reviewing, according to a person in the room during a speech prep session last year. “Where did you get this from?’”

The aide explained that Biden had just said it in a public speech a couple of weeks earlier.

Wow. It’s one thing not to remember something you said two weeks ago. It’s another thing to not remember and then think it’s something you “would never say”. His brain is definitely riding the struggle bus.

The question is why are they just now revealing this? They clearly knew about this during the campaign trail, but they held this back until the day he’s sworn in? The media in this country is utter garbage. Nothing but a big propaganda arm of the DNC.

But as I suggested in the title, this could be the beginning of the end of Joe Biden. Nancy Pelosi and her 25th amendment commission might be coming for him soon

Yep. And yep… not only have the Democrats done everything they claim Republicans have (colluding with China, using quid-pro-quo against Ukraine, having criminal children, etc), this is yet another “told-ya-so” moment coming down the turn-pike.

Last Post On Reason’s Trump Can Win (BIGLY!) |UPDATED 11-3|

(Note, I have added items throughout this post)
5:20 am update


Updated  11-3 (AM)


What we are seeing is a movement toward Trump with late breakers. We are also seeing folks that had initially given every indication that they were going to support Biden or they were undecided moving toward Trump. And the issue we see moving on is the shutdowns. Even young people we’ve identified who don’t like the president. They like shutdowns even less. Even suburban women who said they have problems with the president, they like their children home and shutdowns even less. — Robert Cahaly

CONS

  • “Biden leads, 52% to 42%, among registered voters in national WSJ/NBC News poll; race in battleground states is narrowing.”…. (“President Trump Trails Joe Biden by 10 Points Nationally in Final Days of Election” — WSJ)
  • To borrow from Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman, “I’ve seen enough.” No, I don’t know who’s going to win the election. According to our forecast, President Trump still has a chance at a second term: a 10 percent chance, to be more specific…. (“Trump Can Still Win, But The Polls Would Have To Be Off By Way More Than In 2016” — 538)
  • Some WASHINGTON POST maps and scenarios.

PROS

  • If Biden is collapsing this late in Iowa, it’s reasonable to assume he has a late collapse elsewhere in the Midwest that might not yet be captured in polling…. (“Something’s happening here: Trump and Ernst surge to substantial leads in final Des Moines Register polls” — LEGAL INSURRECTION | THE BLAZE)
  • A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll finds that Joe Biden leads President Trump nationally by 10 points, 52-42. The poll also finds that the race is somewhat tighter in 12 states the pollsters identify as “swing states.” Even so, if these poll numbers reflect the true state of the race, Trump has almost no chance of winning. On the other hand, a new poll by Democracy Institute/Sunday Express has the popular vote split evenly, with Trump nominally ahead by 48-47. In the “swing states” including Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, Trump leads 49-45 according to this survey. The Democracy Institute poll is an outlier, for sure. However, it correctly forecast Brexit and Trump’s 2016 upset victory…. (“Dueling Poll Numbers And Grounds For Optimism” — POWERLINE)
  • ‘This newspaper has not supported a Republican for president since 1972’ One of Pennsylvania’s top newspapers has endorsed President Donald Trump over Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden, a major win for Trump in a state that is critical to winning the White House. The endorsement was even more significant because the newspaper has not endorsed a Republican for president in nearly a half-century. The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette editorial board, one of Pennsylvania’s largest newspapers, revealed late Saturday that Trump is their man…. (“Top Swing-State Newspaper Hasn’t Endorsed Republican In Almost 50 Years — But Is Backing Trump Now” — THE BLAZE)
  • (Map to the right is by Bruce Carrol… had to throw him in the mix! Click to enlarge)
  • Robert Cahaly, a pollster and political consultant who is the founder of the Trafalgar Group, is helping fuel questions with a series of polls showing Mr. Trump running stronger in battleground states than conventional wisdom suggests. “These polls are predominantly missing the hidden Trump vote — what is referred to as the shy Trump voters,” Mr. Cahaly said recently on Fox News. “I definitely think it is going to be a surprise,” he told The Washington Times last week. “I think people just lie to pollsters.”…. (“Trump’S Hidden Vote In Question: ‘I Think People Just Lie To Pollsters'” — WASHINGTON TIMES)
  • From Minnesota to New Hampshire, Biden is down. PollWatch, Larry Schweikart, and David Chapman have been some of the people who have been tracking the early vote totals and the overall state of polling, in general, this cycle, cutting through the liberal nonsense. … (“If New Batch of Polls are Correct, Trump Will Soar Past 300 Electoral Votes” — TOWNHALL)
  • The wonks are partially right: crowd sizes and rallies, caravans and carnival do not necessarily translate to all-important votes. But they are forgetting a few things. For all the intricacy and sophistication an election model may possess, it doesn’t know people. It doesn’t account for history. No model, not in my lifetime, will ever come close to doing so. Consider this: On the admittedly fun swing-state generator at FiveThirtyEight, Joe Biden’s odds are around 90 percent. Hand Florida over to President Trump, and Biden is still strongly favored with 69 chances in 100. Yet Florida has picked the winner in every presidential election except one since 1964. Without Ross Perot in 1992, Florida’s record would be unblemished…. (“Trump: Always Be Closing” — AMERICAN GREATNESS)
  • In conclusion, Trump is well on his way to gain at least a 10-point increase in Latino and black votes combined.  Both groups make up about 32% of the Florida electorate and will likely have the same share of the votes.  This means that Trump can afford to lose white votes by 5 points (about 62% of the electorate in 2016) and still carry the Sunshine state. (“Will Trump Win Florida? An Update On The Numbers” — AMERICAN THINKER)


This will be my final post on this… I may update it [see above], but… between this and my other two posts (here and here) — the idea should suffice.

When gallop or other polling outfits call people to find out who they are voting for… they ask a series of questions about past voting habits to determine if they are a likely voter. Questions like:

  • Have you ever voted in your precinct or election district?
  • How often would you say you vote?
  • In the last election, did things come up that kept you from voting or did you vote?
  • Do you happen to know where people in your neighborhood go to vote?
  • ETC., ETC.

Someone who say “I haven’t voted in 20-years,” or, “I have never voted before,” or comments in the negative for the many questions like those exemplified above (ETC) are not included in the “likely voter.” And so, are not being represented in the stats used often by CNN, NYT, NPR, WaPo, etc.

Other factors is that in some major swing states new registrations for party affiliation — the GOP is outstripping the Dems. (However, this percentage disparity is not being polled for well — more the polls would have to add more Republican respondents to show the Party change.)

  • [I didn’t explain this well enough when I posted this early this morning. Polls are based on the previous 2-election cycles typically… so they stats are based on an understanding of voter turn out in the 2016 and 2018 election cycles. However, this election cycle even now is setting records, and this newer voter and change of Party is part of the mix — which undermines the stats being presented by the MSM.]
  • …at least 93 million people have already voted – about two-thirds of the total votes counted in the 2016 general election, according to Michael McDonald, a professor at the University of Florida who runs the U.S. Elections Project. (USA TODAY)

Why is this import. Some Trump Rallies will help shed some light on this:

FLORIDA

  • 15,852 voters identified
  • 31.8% were NOT Republicans
  • 16.3% were Democrat
  • 24.4% did not vote in 2016
  • 14.4% did not vote in the last 4 elections

PENNSYLVANIA

  • 14,257 sign-ups
  • 26.8% were NOT Republicans
  • 19.9% were Democrats
  • 22.5% did not vote in 2016
  • 15.3% did not vote in the last 4 elections

IOWA

  • 10,139 voters identified
  • 48.5% (!) NOT Republican
  • 29.4% (!) Democrat
  • 25.0% did not vote in 2016
  • 13.7% did not vote in the last 4 elections

(MSN NEWS)

ARIZONA

  • 23,591 signups for Bullhead City rally  
  • 24.0% NOT Republican
  • 45.3% (!) did not vote in 2016

In Rochester, MN:  

  • 53.6% NOT Republican

In Green Bay, WI:

  • 52.6% NOT Republican

(BREITBART)

The “did not vote in 2016” and the “last four elections” would disqualify them from being included in the likely voter polls. In other words, THIS GUY would not be included in the official polls:

Other head tilts are as follows, but remember, these are projections:

  • Republican Support: 77% (2016) vs. 96% (projected 2020). That’s 10,000,000 votes!
  • Evangelical Christians: 81% (2016) vs. 90% (projected 2020)
  • Hispanics: 28% (2016) vs. 36.5% (projected in 2020). A potential swing of 8.8 million from 2016.
  • Catholics: 45% (2016) vs. 53% (projected 2020). A potential swing of 12.4 million votes from 2016.
  • Black vote: 8% (2016) vs. 15% (projected 2020). A potential swing of 6.8 million votes from 2016.

I also think that the Libertarian party not having a “Gary Johnson” again to run against Trump will siphon more votes towards Trump rather than the Libertarian Party this year. Here are some more anecdotal evidences:

The WASHINGTON EXAMINER notes the latest Zogby poll:

The latest Zogby Poll just shared with Secrets had Trump’s approval at 52%. “The president has recorded his best job approval rating on record,” said pollster Jonathan Zogby.

What’s more, his approval rating among minorities was solid and, in the case of African Americans, shockingly high. Zogby said 36% of blacks approve of the president, as do 37% of Hispanics and 35% of Asians….

[Gallup has found whenever the incumbent has over 50%, he’s reelected.]

Via 100% FED-UP: During an interview on CNN, Democrat Congresswoman Debbie Dingell conceded that auto workers in Michigan “were very clear with me…they were voting for President Trump.”

Byron York over at WASHINGTON EXAMINER notes the spontaneous Trump rallies:

  • It was the biggest political rally no one saw. And gatherings like it have been happening for months in some of the places President Trump needs most to win if he is to be reelected. And, remarkably, the rallies are not the work of the Trump campaign. The road rally in Washington, Pennsylvania, was organized and staged by local Trump supporters, linked together largely by Facebook, who want to show that enthusiasm for the president in western Pennsylvania and surrounding areas is not just strong but stronger than it was when Trump eked out a victory in Pennsylvania in 2016. If Trump wins this critical state, it will owe in significant part to this organic movement and the energetic organizers who have nothing to do with his campaign.

And Biden had his largest rally yet the other day where he addressed 771 people in 365 cars (remember, Biden’s campaign set this up and Biden was there). But a non-Trump rally in Miami drew over 30,000 cars (RIGHT SCOOP). (We had almost 500-cars in my suburb of L.A. grassroots car rally.)

BLACKSPHERE also notes Michael Moore and others recognizing this groundswell of enthusiasm:

  • But I’m not the only one who predicted Trump would win in 2016. So did filmmaker and avowed Leftist Michael Moore. And he has predicted another Trump victory, based on trends. Moore recognizes the pro-Trump ferver in the battleground states. Further, he understands that the part of the iceberg under water in 2020 in far larger that that of 2016, as he feels the passion for Trump around the country. Moore knows this, because he actually talks to other former Leftists. And he is not getting the typical Leftists feedback. He described the excitement for Trump as, “off the charts.”

Here is another example of a lifelong Democrat changing voting patters: “A life-long Democrat who serves on the Flint, Michigan city council has just endorsed President Trump in a great speech…. Maurice Davis, who spoke at a rally held by Mike Pence, said he voted for Hillary Clinton four years ago but this year he is switching to President Trump” (RIGHT SCOOP).


ADDED TODAY @ 10:15pm


(RIGHT SCOOP) Miami-Dade county, which went overwhelmingly for Clinton in 2016, suddenly has Democrats very worried according to CNN:

Fraternal Order of Police Chairman Rob Pride tells CNN that FOP leadership does not tell members who the group will be endorsing, but rather it’s the other way around. And he says the FOP members numbering over over 330,000 voted overwhelmingly to endorse President Trump for this presidential election. (RIGHT SCOOP)

While I know my biases play a large roll in my outlook, one can see how — LIKE IN 2016 — Trump could win. BIGLY.

Also this from GATEWAY PUNDIT confirming some of the above percentages:

Robert Cahaly, the chief pollster at Trafalgar Polling, joined Laura Ingraham on Thursday to discuss the latest battleground polls. Trafalgar Polling correctly predicted Michigan and Wisconsin would go for Donald Trump in 2016. And today he still feels the same way.

[….]

Robert also had this shocking news on Hispanic and Black voters this year.

Robert Cahaly: What we’re seeing with the Hispanics, the blacks and now the youth vote is starting to move. The Hispanic numbers in both states (Michigan and Florida) is 41 for Trump and the African American number in Nevada was 20 and 27 in Florida.

[….]

And also Evangelicals are turning to Trump in larger numbers (79%) than in 2016!

And, as I noted in a previous post, one of the most reliable voting predictors is the one where people are asked “are they better of than 4-years ago.” Gallup also found that 56% Americans thought they were better off now than four years ago under Barack Obama and Joe Biden.

Two predictions – one by StatesPoll (left), and the other by Kevin McCullough (right) — CLICK TO ENLARGE:

Predicted 10/30

Predicted 10/28

I have to add this for the fun factor… this comes by way of “The Mooch’s” Twitter — he is showing a Biden landslide! Lol. I included Glenn Amurgis “crack pipe” comment:

Larry Sabato and his Crystal Ball are predicting an electoral landslide like he did four years ago (NEWSTHUD), click to enlarge:

CLINTON
BIDEN

This is what my WIFE has hope for:

RED STATE contributors all made their own predictions:

Robert A. Hahn, Pundit Emeritus

The secret of the Universe is not 42. It is 37: Donald Trump wins 37 states. Joe Biden wins 37% of the popular vote.

  • Winner: Donald J. Trump
  • Electoral Vote Count: 340 to 197
  • House: Dems
  • Senate: Reps
  • Upset: Martha McSally (R-AZ)

Susie Moore, Senior Copy Editor

  • Winner: Donald J. Trump
  • Electoral Vote Count: 295 to 243
  • House: Dems
  • Senate: Reps
  • Upset: John James (R-MI)

Scott Hounsell, Polling Nerd

This is my quasi-wishcasting guess.  Trump wins MN just so he can brag he did something Reagan couldn’t.

  • Winner: Donald J. Trump
  • Electoral Vote Count: 295 -243
  • House: Dems (Republicans pick up a couple of seats)
  • Senate: Reps 53-47 (After GA Runoff in January)
  • Upset:  Jason Lewis (R-MN)

Brad Slager – Felonious Work Opportunity Tax Reduction Hire

  • Winner: President Trump
  • EV Count: 281 – 257
  • House: DEMS Retain, GOP makes gains
  • Senate: GOP
  • Upset: Candidate – John James, MI / State – Minn. going to Trump
  • Epilogue – One unforeseen influence apart from the platforms is how many voters are motivated against the media this time around. Less the effect of Trump’s ”Fake News” claims it is more a reaction to the growing hostility coming from the news industry, and seen on social media from journalists.

Dan Spencer, Senior Contributing Editor

  • Winner: Donald J. Trump
  • Electoral Vote Count: 300 – 238
  • House:  Dems
  • Senate: Reps
  • Upset: Susan Collins (R-ME)

Shipwreckedcrew, Contributor Legal Affairs Pundit

  • Winner:  Donald J. Trump
  • Electoral Vote Count: 305 — 233
  • House:  GOP (less than 5 seat advantage)
  • Senate:  GOP (+2 net)
  • Upset: James (MI)

With all of the above, as I noted as well in my previous post, I would like to see the “forsureness” of a friend bumped down a notch. I will leave this and the other clips from Facebook up [even if Trump loses], out of fairness.

Called It A Year Ago – Flynn May Be A Rich Man

(Yes, its a witch hunt)

I called this a year ago (Alan Dershowitz was calling it a few days earlier as well!):

Leftist legal scholar Jonathan Turley says Flynn was put in a perjury trap:

Rep. Jim Jordan has been on this scent for a year… here he lays out his thoughts anew:

PJ-MEDIA makes note of the judge involved:

The bombshell allegation seems to have piqued the interest of Sullivan, a magistrate known for having a low tolerance level for the shenanigans of federal prosecutors.

Sullivan — who  overturned the 2008 conviction of former U.S. Sen. Ted Stevens after government misconduct came to light — is weighing how to sentence Flynn, who pleaded guilty to one count of lying to federal authorities during the 2017 interview in the West Wing. Flynn faced mounting legal bills that forced him to sell his home amid the prosecution, and Mueller  has already recommended he receive no prison time. 

The judge’s brief order states that Mueller can choose to file the materials under seal if necessary.

Sullivan also ordered the Flynn team to turn over the documents backing up its assertions. The judge could determine why the FBI apparently took a significantly more aggressive tack in handling the Flynn interview than it did during other similar matters, including the agency’s sit-downs with Hillary Clinton and ex-Trump adviser George Papadopoulos.

Flynn is set to be sentenced next Tuesday — but Sullivan’s move might delay that date, or lead to other dramatic and unexpected changes in the case. Sullivan even has the authority to toss Flynn’s guilty plea and the charge against him if he concludes that the FBI interfered with Flynn’s constitutional right to counsel, although he has given no indications that he intends to do so.

Federal authorities undertaking a national security probe are ordinarily under no obligation to inform interviewees of their right to an attorney unless they are in custody, as long as agents do not act coercively. Flynn’s lawyers claimed in Tuesday’s filing that FBI brass had threatened to escalate the matter to involve the Justice Department if Flynn sought the advice of the White House Counsel before talking with agents.

In his order, Sullivan requested Mueller turn over the FBI’s Flynn interview report (known as a 302), a memo written by McCabe, and any similar documents in the FBI’s possession.

The judge is likely interested in finding out why the Flynn 302 is dated August 22, 2017, seven months after the interview took place….

(MORE: Judge Orders Mueller to Turn Over Key Documents in Flynn CaseJudge Demands Interviews With Flynn After Sentencing Memo Raises Questions About the FBI’s Conduct)

When Lying To The FBI Wasn’t A Crime

Here is a large excerpt of the article by Daniel Greenfield at FRONTPAGE MAGAZINE:

“There’s always conflicting recollections of facts,” FBI Director Comey said.

It was a year ago and Comey was explaining why Hillary’s close aide, Cheryl Mills, not only received an immunity agreement in exchange for turning over her laptop, but a pass on lying to the FBI.

The FBI Director claimed that Mills had to receive immunity because the laptop might be protected by attorney-client privilege. Mills, like Hillary Clinton, had worked as a lawyer. But they were both government officials working for the State Department. Hillary wasn’t Mills’ client. The government was.

Comey and his people knew the law. They chose to ignore it to protect a key Hillary aide from rolling over. Mills was the woman Hillary would send in to clean up her dirty laundry. Mills had taken point on the email server cover-up. If anyone knew where the bodies were buried, she did. Instead not only did she get an immunity agreement, but the FBI also agreed to destroy the computers after the search.

Mills had told the FBI that she didn’t know about Hillary’s email server. But the FBI had notes and emails proving that Mills was lying. And when Comey was asked about it, he came out with, “There’s always conflicting recollections of facts.”

No doubt.

That is what the lawyer of the woman who had been caught lying to the FBI might have been expected to argue. But there were no charges, instead the FBI Director was presenting her defense.

George Papadopoulos and Michael Flynn were charged with lying to investigators. But lying to investigators isn’t a crime when you’re Hillary Clinton.

Or one of her associates.

Hillary Clinton had told the FBI that she had no idea that the “C” stood for confidential. Instead of laughing in her face or arresting her, the FBI boss testified personally to her truthfulness.

Hillary Clinton, Mills and Huma Abedin made what appear to be false statements to the FBI.

Had Mills been working for Trump, the same number would have been run on Mills as on Flynn and Papadopoulos. But the men interviewing Mills didn’t want her to sing. They wanted her to keep quiet.

Mills and Abedin were interviewed by the FBI’s Peter Strzok and the DOJ’s David Laufman. Strzok was exchanging pro-Hillary and anti-Trump messages in an extramarital affair with a woman working for FBI deputy director Andrew McCabe. McCabe’s wife had received a sizable amount of money from a Clinton ally. Laufman, whose counterintelligence section was heading the investigation, is an Obama donor.

Mills’ lie made it more urgent to hand her an immunity agreement on any pretext. The immunity agreement wasn’t leverage for her testimony. It was leverage to keep her from testifying. The obstruction of justice was coming from the inside.

Strzok received input on the Comey letter exonerating Clinton. The Mills interview killed two birds with one stone. A key Hillary aide got immunity and the evidence would be destroyed.

This wasn’t an interview. It was a cover-up.

It’s why Comey sounded like Mills’ lawyer. And why so many Clinton associates got immunity agreements. Why the FBI agreed to destroy evidence. Why there were no recordings of Hillary’s testimony. And why lying to the FBI wasn’t a crime when it came to Hillary and her aides.

But the double standard kicked in when the Clinton cover-up crew went after Trump.

While Mills received an immunity agreement based on an imaginary attorney-client privilege that didn’t exist, Manafort was denied attorney-client privilege with his actual attorney.

The double standard isn’t surprising when you look at who was doing the interviewing.

Strzok and Laufman had also interviewed Hillary. No recordings were made of the session. But Comey testified that it’s a “crime to lie to us”.

Not for the Clintons and their associates.

Hillary had told her interviewers that she hadn’t received training on handling classified information, but she signed a document testifying that she had. Hillary claimed that she hadn’t carried a second phone, but an aide, Justin Cooper, who made the server possible, testified that indeed she did.

Huma Abedin and Cheryl Mills told the same lie.

These are the kinds of misstep that Team Mueller would have used to hang a Trump associate. But Comey testified that Hillary Clinton did not lie.

And that meant he was lying.

Not only did Clinton’s people lie to the FBI. But the head of the FBI had lied for them.

The fix had been in all along……..

(READ IT ALL)

I predict Flynn will be exonerated from all this. And with Mueller’s teams past, other cases he has and will put forward may fall apart. NOT because he is wrong, but because of the tactics used (like with Enron and the like).