RED STATE notes where you can find the full speech.
Author: Papa Giorgio
SNL Does SCV
(KHTS) A Saturday Night Live sketch this past weekend not only featured the stars of the SNL cast and show host Will Ferrell, but also alluded to the fictitious, but must-watch reality television show “King and Queens of Santa Clarita.”
[….]
Despite a culture surrounding SNL that frowns upon cast members breaking character, the Bravo-esc scene was played so well by Ferrell and Strong that the other characters on set could not hold back their laughter.
Santa Clarita residents are no strangers to the entertainment industry’s spotlight.
On top of a number of shows including “NCIS,” “Criminal Minds” and “The Office” having been filmed at various locations in the community, Netflix is also set to release their second season of the Drew Barrymore and Timothy Olyphant starring show, “Santa Clarita Diet.”
Additionally, shows like Showtime’s “Weeds” and Tim Burton’s film “Edward Scissorhands” make allusions to a setting in Santa Clarita without overtly stating it.
Santa Clarita also offers an apt location for film makers and show runners through local properties such as Santa Clarita Studios, Melody Ranch and Golden Oak Ranch…
…and the company I work for: DANGLING CARROT CREATIVE
Fox News’ “Impeachment Poll”
I was challenged by a friend when I brought up the weighted aspect by this: “Have you taken any graduate level courses on polling Sean? I have.” So I guess you have to take graduate level courses in statistics to be fooled? I don’t know… I don’t put ANYTHING past these #NeverTrumpers any-longer. But I never say, “have you read over 2,000 books cover-to-cover, have a library of over 5,000 books as well as 3,000 more digitally?” — to make a point become true.
BIZPIC has this about the Fox News Poll:
…The problem is that the poll was heavily biased because it over-sampled Democrats, thereby leading to skewed results.
According to analysis by the New York Post, a poll weighted for party affiliation would’ve concluded that 44.9% of voters favor impeachment, while 44.4% oppose it.
In other words, a less-biased poll would’ve shown that the majority of voters (55.1%) oppose impeachment.
Braun Research conducted the Fox News poll by sampling a pool comprised of:
- 48% Democrats.
- 40% Republicans.
- 12% Independents.
In reality, registered American voters are:
- 31% Democrat.
- 29% Republican.
- 38% independent.
Any poll that oversamples Democrats will lead to a skewed result. This is exactly what Fox News host Greg Gutfeld said this week when he dismissed the Fox News poll as bogus.
“We got to point out that it’s weighted toward Democrats,” Gutfeld said. “It’s 48% Democrats, 40% Republicans, 12% other. Also, it’s being taken at the fever pitch of media coverage about a single topic, so what do you expect?”
Gutfeld underscored: “We have to remind ourselves how many Democrats and how many Republicans are in this poll, and that these polls have been known to be wrong.”…
AMERICAN THINKER continues the breakdown and shows how Rasmussen attempts to correct for such things:
…How did the Fox polling unit come up with this number?
The Fox news polling companies interviewed 1,003 registered voters, ostensibly throughout the length and breadth of the United States. Many polling companies use either all adult Americans (254 million) or registered voters (158 million in 2016) as their universe for polling. Obviously, the greater the number of potential people to contact and question, the easier a poll is to complete and to skew a result. In reality, what matters is who votes in an election. In 2016, 86% (or 136.6 million) of registered voters cast a vote. A poll of likely voters would inherently be more reliable but more difficult to achieve. Currently, only Rasmussen among national polls uses exclusively likely voters and they are among the most reliable.
As the issue of impeachment is overtly political, the political make-up of the respondents in any poll is critical. In this recent Fox poll, 48% of those polled claimed to be Democrats, 40% Republican, and 12% independent. However, as Gallup points out in its most recent research, 31% of all Americans identify as Democrats, 29% as Republican and 38% as independent.
Ideally, all polls, as does Rasmussen, should strive to reflect that political affiliation dichotomy or as close as possible, considering the difficulty in finding people willing to be polled and be honest in their responses.
Therefore, the Fox poll, with its political make-up of respondents, is manipulated to come up with a desired result. The issue isn’t the difference between the number of Democrat and Republican respondents, but the gross undercounting of independents and the massive overcounting of Democrats.
Over the past three months to date, in a variety of polls, an average of nearly 84% of all Democrats favored the impeachment of Donald Trump. Therefore, when Fox uses 48% Democrat registered voters, the poll immediately, before taking into account any other group, will indicate 41% in favor of impeachment and removal. Thus, to get to 51%, only 20% of those identifying as Republican or independents in this poll would have to be in favor of impeachment.
However, if Fox had used the actual political breakdown of 32% of Americans identifying as Democrats, then instead of an immediate impact of 41% in the result, it would have been 27%, or 14 percentage points less.
Further, over the past three months, polls have averaged 92% of Republicans and 56% of independents opposed to impeachment and removal. If the Fox poll sample had been 29% Republican and 39% independent, using these average poll results, the final tabulation would have been 44% instead of 51%.
But there would have been no headlines and breathless anchors on CNN, MSNBC, CBS, NBC, and ABC, nor any banner headlines in the Washington Post and New York Times trying to convince the nation that the citizenry is turning on Donald Trump….
Trump & The Kurds… Blue Collar Logic
While I have posted some political wonks and scholars on the issue of the Kurds and Turkey… here we indulge the logic of the blue collar man:
Too Funny! A Russian Turns a Wrench ~ Hilarity Ensues
Took me two years, but I found the video again!
...Context
Some of the comments below included LADA references. LADA was a car manufactured during the Soviet days and was a miserable failure but a prime example of socialism versus free market ideals.
- I didn’t know they had unions over there.
- Should’ve used a hammer
- Borat’s retarded cousin Bylo finally found a job. Great success!
- Hey they need him on the F 35 project.
- Must be cold there, his nuts have shrunk.
- This is called teasing the bolt. Standard practice if the bolt is playing hard to get.
- Come on, we all do that sometimes. pretend to do work at work
- With wodka, you never have to worry about selecting the right size tool.
- He’s going nuts with that bolt.
- Must be a mechanic from F&R Auto Sales
- Its like a Greek Tragedy. The train that was never finished and to this day the worker toils away.
- “220…..221…whatever it takes.” ~ “I like his can-do attitude, lets hire him full-time.”
- Poor Russia, can’t afford to buy right size wrench, so sad.
- That bolt will take about two weeks to get tightened.
- Pfft! anyone can see he needs a 7/16 whitworth spanner.
- The whole thing is made of paper mache and tape.
- I’ve got an entire set of wrenches with the same problem… I was vainly hoping this video would help me figure out what the hell’s wrong with ’em.
- When I was in engineering I was taught that on the first day….walk around with a spanner and look busy
- They will promote that one to management.
- It’s a new iterative technique. You start with the largest wrench and if after 10 minutes it doesn’t meet resistance then you drop down a size and repeat.
- They pretend to pay him so he pretends to work
- Tomorrow he will find the right spanner for the wrong bolt.
- He’s just warming the bolt up before tightening it.
- He was the head A&P mechanic on Flight MH370.
- 5 minutes ago he was sweeping the floor …good job Comrade!
- I knew Sputnik was Fake!!!
- Its a dying trade — the bluffer; not many of us left.
- A master craftsman – it literally takes a lifetime to get to that skill level.
- Laid off from the Lada factory, now he works there.
- He was just using the wrong side.
- Russian Spanner, French [Bolt].
- new type or round bolts invented by Wladimir Wladimirowicz Putin
- What a scam! During the close up, you can clearly see he flips the wrench the WRONG WAY!!
- “Ill see you next week Yuri! Im off for a cuppa.”
- Almost had it there buddy… try again.
- Like a glove!
- Is that the Lada factory?
No Official Vote On Impeachment – Per Pelosi
Here is the news almost everyone knew was coming, via RIGHT SCOOP and THE WASHINGTON TIMES: “Pelosi has reportedly informed her caucus that there will be no official impeachment vote in the House”
Now, my feeling on this final decision (of course, in politics nothing is ever “final”) is that after Marie Yovanovitch testified — presumably under oath — and apparently denied using State Dept resources to spy on American citizens, THI may have been a bridge too far for Nancy. So far everything has backfired on the Dems… this being the latest. And as more is known about the illegality of her and her staffs actions, the more Democrats stand to be hurt in 2020.
HOT AIR has a great post involving ALL THE ISSUES of this story… some of it is not too helpful to pro-Trumpers like myself… but for a good balance of this, read their whole piece… which ens thus:
So where does this ride come to a stop? How much of this is true — all of it, none of it, or only some of it? Trump loyalists will surely consider all of this as more evidence of a Deep State plot that now involves both the State and Justice Departments. Trump haters will see this as another case of foreign influence on the administration and a plot to smear Trump’s opponents, both electoral and otherwise. The rest of America might just be hoping that the [expletive deleted] ride would come to an end, period.
At this point, the mess is too complicated to suss out which conclusion reflects the truth. What does appear to true is that we’re not going to know for sure what’s true for a long, long time — and it might turn out, ironically, that the DoJ could end up as the most credible player in Ukraine-Gate.
Here are two videos discussing the issue introduced above:
CNN Exposed Again! (Blue Collar Logic – Project Veritas)
As if it’s not obvious to a lot of us, CNN’s true agenda has been exposed, again. Thanks to Project Veritas for confirming what we all know. Below is a link to the full Project Veritas Video.
PROJECT VERITAS EXPOSES:
Mike Doran Discusses Syria/Turkey with Sebastian Gorka
Sabastian Gorka had Mike Doran (WIKI) on his show (VIDEO) to discuss the Middle-Easts latest issue — which is the media’s infatuation with a splinter group within the PKK. See my other upload that this Doran audio sheds more light on (see below this audio). Good stuff… it evolved my understanding on the issue a bit.
HOWEVER, the IRA (Irish Republican Army) analogy is off a bit. It would be like us supporting the Irish National Liberation Army (INLA), a faction of the larger IRA: SEE GRAPHIC BELOW
Previous Audios
|
Hugh Hewitt quickly summarizes the Kurdish conundrum the U.S. finds itself in in Syria. Brings some even keeled thinking to a topic ginned up by hawks (of which I am one).
|
Hugh Hewitt talks with Florida Congressman Michael Waltz (against the pull back to defensible lines) and Arkansas Senator Tom Cotton (for the pull back to defensible lines) about the Syrian issue with the Kurds and Turkey, impeachment, and China’s LOOMING threat.
|
click to enlarge
Are The Kurds Our “Allies”? Kurt Schlichter Opines
Kurt Schlichter fills in for Hugh Hewitt and the beginning of the show focuses on his article titled, “Critics Aghast As Trump Keeps Word About No More Wars”. Kurt makes great points about the Kurds in Syria we were working with to defeat ISIS… and the endless type wars Trump promised to end. Good opener (and I included some of the back-n-forth between the producer and Kurt). See more about the PKK at WIKI.
Democrats Want To End ALL Charter/Private Schools
With Democratic primary candidate Senator Bernie Sanders pledging to end all private charter schools in the United States, Larry looks at just how effective charter school and voucher programs are in this country, especially for minority community members. He also points out a certain former president who derided charter schools but spent his entire education in elite private institutions.
Some Clarity On The Syrian Kurds (UPDATED)
UPDATED INTERVIEWS ADDED:
Hugh Hewitt talks with Florida Congressman Michael Waltz (against the pull back to defensible lines) and Arkansas Senator Tom Cotton (for the pull back to defensible lines) about the Syrian issue with the Kurds and Turkey, impeachment, and China’s LOOMING threat.
(PREVIOUS UPLOAD) Hugh Hewitt quickly summarizes the Kurdish conundrum the U.S. finds itself in in Syria. Brings some even keeled thinking to a topic ginned up by hawks (of which I am one).
Brigitte’s Historical Tour-De-Force Of “Peaceful Majorities”
I UPDATED this (below the videoa) because of a post on a community Facebook Page for the valley I live in. What a cheap shot.
The fuller context can be found below… and the woman who asked the question ended with a funny quip. I hope she stays moderate or wasn’t practicing Taqiyya.
(Below) American University law student Saba Ahmed spoke at the Heritage Foundation’s panel on Benghazi June 16, 2014.
UPDATE
On Facebook tactics were used (publishing of names on a forum merely to shame or harass) that upset me that are members of or admins of ACT FOR AMERICA, which Brigitte Gabriel is the founder of. Along with pictures and a name, the following was said by Mike Devlin (who may have been born in the city of brotherly love, but practices a different way)
- Hi guys. Act! for America is an extreme anti-Muslim hate group. They have a Santa Clarita chapter with its own little facebook group and one of its members is none other than city council candidate Jason Gibbs
So I responded thus (I changed the order just a tad):
I like posts like this… because it gives us all a chance to forgo what followers say or do and look at what the founders of the faith purport… and would make us all happy or weary of the devout followers of the two. (The question then becomes… whom are you for or against? If you are “anti-Trump” because of his past statements about women… or some perceived “tyrannical bent”… would applying this idea make you pro or anti Muhammad — and thus, anti-Islamic?)
MUHAMMAD(a) ordered his followers, and (b) and participated in both digging their graves and cutting the throats of between 600-to-900 men, women, and children. Some of the women and boy and girl children were taken as property. He was a military tactician that lied and told others to use deception that ultimately led to the death of many people (taqiyya): The word “Taqiyya” literally means: “Concealing, precaution, guarding.” Lying and cheating in the Arab world is not really a moral matter but a method of safeguarding honor and status, avoiding shame, and at all times exploiting possibilities, for those with the wits for it, deftly and expeditiously to convert shame into honor on their own account and vice versa for their opponents. If honor so demands, lies and cheating may become absolute imperatives.” [David PryceJones, “The Closed Circle” An interpretation of the Arabs, p4] We never see any depictions of Muhammad with children, we just know that he most likely acquired a child bride at age 6 and consummated that “marriage” when she was nine — he was a pedophile in other words; While the Qu’ran states that a follower of this book should have no more than 4 wives, we know of course that he had many more. Many more; Even the most ardent/obedient Muslim still leaves his or her entrance into “heaven” is an arbitrary choice of “Allah” … no story of love and sacrifice.
JESUS, when Peter struck off the ear of the soldier, healed it. Christ said if his followers were of any other kingdom, they would fight to get him off the cross. He also told Peter if he lived by the sword he would die by it.; Christ invited and used children as examples of how Jewish adults should view their faith… something culturally radical – inviting children into an inner-circle of a group of status oriented men such as the Pharisees was unheard of. Especially saying to them their faith must be similar; Jesus, and thusly us, can access true love because the Triune God has eternally loved (The Father loves the Son, etc. ~ unlike the Unitarian God of Islam). Love between us then: (1) my wife and I for instance, as well as family, (2) the love in community/Body of Christ, (3) love for our enemies, etc., has eternal foundations in God; This love from God towards us has caused a Sacrifice to ensure our salvation. Jesus said as well that he has “spoken openly to the world… always teaching in synagogues or at the temple, where all the Jews come together. ‘I said nothing in secret.’” The Bible also states that God cannot lie… and Jesus is God in orthodoxy. The love of Christ and the relationship he offers is bar-none the center piece of our faith… something the Muslim does not have. Which is why the Church evolved because they have a point of reference in Christ to come back to.
“All of the nine founders of religion, with the exception of Jesus Christ, are reported in their respective sacred scriptures as having passed through a preliminary period of uncertainty, or of searching for religious light. All the founders of the non-Christian religions evinced inconsistencies in their personal character; some of them altered their practical policies under change of circumstances. Jesus Christ alone is reported as having had a consistent God-consciousness, a consistent character himself, and a consistent program for his religion” (Robert Hume, The World’s Living Religions [New York, NY: Charles Scribner’s Sons, 1959], 285-286.).
BY THE NUMBERS
I love the graphics Mrs. Raza put to Sam Harris’ cogent response to Ben Affleck.
(Here is the video description) By the Numbers is an honest and open discussion about Muslim opinions and demographics. Narrated by Raheel Raza, president of Muslims Facing Tomorrow, this short film is about the acceptance that radical Islam is a bigger problem than most politically correct governments and individuals are ready to admit. Is ISIS, the Islamic State, trying to penetrate the U.S. with the refugee influx? Are Muslims radicalized on U.S. soil? Are organizations such as CAIR, who purport to represent American Muslims accepting and liberal or radicalized with links to terror organizations?
The below video is a the original Ben Affleck video challenging Sam Harris. What I didn’t know however is that Ben (and all the panelists) are instructed NOT TO INTERFERE with the interview portion between Maher and whoever his guest is that sits to our right, Maher’s left.
I wanted to repost as well Ben Shapiro’s discussion of this appearance of Ben Affleck on Bill Maher’s show. It was an earlier version of Raheel’s video… but I REALLY liked Raheel’s graphics better:
#Batfleck got pwned!
MORE NUMBERS
A good summation of the nembers can be found here, which the below is an excerpt of. Here are some numbers that indicate the percentage of radical Muslims (unlike a Zudhi Jasser or Raheel Raza)…
…Raza breaks down the rising threat with the visual concept of three concentric rings: Violent Jihadists, Islamists, and Fundamentalists. Organizations such as ISIS and al-Qaeda would fall into this first classification of Violent Jihadists. “There are anywhere between 40,000 to 200,000 Muslims involved in fighting for ISIS across the world. That’s just ISIS; and it doesn’t include the 100’s of 1,000’s of Jihadists fighting for al-Qaeda, Hamas, Hezbollah, The Iranian Revolutionary Guard, and other groups.”
Next is the Islamists. “Islamists want many of the same things as the Jihadists; it’s just that their tactics differ. So instead of engaging in terror themselves, they use the political and cultural system to further their aims.” As she highlights and identifies past and present events, and organizations throughout the world, she brings to light what has been repeatedly been denied. Noteworthy mentions are the Muslim Brotherhood and Council on American-Islam Relations, (CAIR).
The outlying third circle, the Fundamentalists. Raza shares from an exhaustive report by Pew Research revealing, the demographics of Global Islam and the beliefs of these Fundamentalists. In this report, Muslims were interviewed from 39 countries. Here are just a few of the startling statistics:
- 79-86% of Sharia supporting Muslims in Afghanistan, Egypt & Jordan, believe apostates should be executed
- 27% is the Average of all Muslims polled believe apostates should be executed.
- This 27% makes up approximately 237 million Muslim.
- 39% of all Muslims in the countries surveyed, believe that honor killings can be a justifiable punishment for a woman who has had pre or extra-marital sex
- This 39% makes up more than 345 Million Muslims
- 53% of Muslims surveyed said they want Sharia Law, or Islamic Law to be the law of the land in Muslim majority countries
- Of this 53%, over 52% are in support of whippings and cutting off of hands
This 52% makes up more than 281 million Muslims
Of the original 53%, 51% are in support of stoning if they are unfaithful to their spouses
- Of this 53%, over 52% are in support of whippings and cutting off of hands
- This 51% makes over 289 million Muslims
These numbers and concerning statistics only continue. When Muslims in countries outside of the Middle East were polled, the concern continues….