Incitement Narrative Collapses (UPDATED)

Newsmax host Rob Schmitt opened his show on Tuesday discussing the upcoming impeachment of private citizen Donald Trump. Schmitt also took time to mention the many irregularities, rule changes and fraud in the 2020 presidential election. Schmitt may be the only honest reporter left in America today.

QUOTE via FBI MEMOS:

Pipe bombs found near Capitol on Jan. 6 are believed to have been placed the night before. [RPT Note: planted at Democrats AND Republican offices]

[….]

One of the comments cited in the FBI memo declared Trump supporters should go to Washington and get “violent. Stop calling this a march, or rally, or a protest. Go there ready for war. We get our President or we die.” Some had been preparing for conflict for weeks.

[….]

In the week leading up to the rally and riot, Watkins and Caldwell were in regular contact as they talked about various groups of people meeting up on Jan. 5 and Jan. 6, according to an indictment filed this past week against them.

This was planned weeks ahead of time, the violent crowd had already entered the Capitol even before Trump was half-way through his speech:

  • Based on Chief Sund’s timeline, the riot at the Capitol began more than thirty minutes before Trump finished his speech, and long before he made the only comment that Democrats pointed to in order to back up their baseless claim that the president “encouraged” insurrection. (LIFESITE)

Again, the pipe-bombs were placed at both Republican and Democrat sites, the DAY BEFORE:

Just to be clear, While I am posting a portion by RIGHT SCOOP, this is them sending people to the fuller article, to quote:

Here is RS’s post:

The bombs were placed the night before. The plans were made weeks in advance. The riot mob and Trump’s rally audience were different groups.

The incitement narrative is “falling apart before our very eyes,” says Kyle Becker in an outstanding new column at his substack.

On January 6th, amid a large gathering at the nation’s capitol to protest what millions of Americans perceived to be illegitimately held elections in key swing states, the former president gave a speech. The timing of the speech was the convening of the Joint Session of Congress to validate the slates of electors from the Electoral College.

It has been argued that Donald Trump’s language at the speech, including using the words “fight” was deliberately incendiary. But let’s take a look at the actual language of the speech. Trump deliberately says “fight” in the commonplace political context:

For years, Democrats have gotten away with election fraud and weak Republicans. And that’s what they are. There’s so many weak Republicans. And we have great ones. Jim Jordan and some of these guys, they’re out there fighting. The House guys are fighting. But it’s, it’s incredible.

It should be noted further that allegations of election “fraud” are not incitement. Indeed, the same mainstream media accusing Trump of ‘inciting’ the crowd with fraud allegations accused Donald Trump himself of perpetrating fraud in the 2016 election.

Becker walks through several of the deceptive headlines that have poured out since January 6th (which is in fact its own form of incitement) and gets into the heart of it.

“For speech to meet the threshold of incitement, a speaker must, first, indicate a desire for violence and, second, demonstrate a capability or reasonable indication of capability to carry out the violence, according to Kevin Brock, former assistant director of intelligence for the FBI,” the report states.

It is quite obvious that the President of the United States, as Commander-in-Chief of the armed forces, and head of some of the most powerful intelligence agencies in the world, would not incite an “insurrection” or a “coup” from a mob of common political supporters and amateurish rabble like these fellows, who are suspiciously emblematic of the media’s warped reading of who is likely to be a Trump supporter:

After the U.S. Capitol riot, Democrats suddenly discovered law and order, and they no longer want to defund the police. But back during the Black Lives Matter riots throughout the summer of 2020, not so much. In this episode, Larry looks back at the comments made from the Democrats and the mainstream media, and how they served as cheerleaders for the rioters burning and looting in cities across America. Can you say… double standard?

A long montage (8-minutes), but the key point is the first few minutes of the longer montage. I have another montage of Democrats calling for violence here (RUMBLE)

 

Impeachment #2 (RPT’s “notes”)

JUMP TO

(This post is a sister-post to this one.)

Firstly, much like with words like Mother, Father, Brother, Sister, Aunt, Uncle , He or She – and the like, or words like rape, unarmed

  • “The idea that instead of standing there and teaching a cop when there’s an unarmed person coming at ‘em with a knife or something, shoot ‘em in the leg instead of the heart is a very different thing. There’s a lot of different things that can change” — Joe Biden

…or that making burritos is racist… the Left changes the meaning of them for political gains or the racializes them to malign their opponents. If not that, they make up entirely new words from whole cloth or damage the grammar of the Romantic Languages or English itself.

Now…. “peaceful and Patriotic” is inciteful. That now means to pillage and destroy.

(YouTube Channel’s description) As a viewer from across the pond in the UK, I was amazed by the scenes at Capitol Hill and the media coverage. What confused me was why are none of the media organisations not showing this clip, but showing edited clips with the words PEACEFULLY & PATRIOTICALLY omitted… How are the words “PEACEFULLY & PATRIOTICALLY” an “INCITEMENT TO INSURRECTION”?

[ANSWER to my compatriot across the pond: Democrats]

Here I wish to reproduce in it’s entirety a letter to the editor of a small Indianola (Iowa) paper. I am doing so just in case it is removed to keep the paper’s server’s free of space.

The House of Representatives has, for a second time, engaged in a lawless and irrational impeachment of President Trump. This snap impeachment, after only two hours of debate, without any investigations, hearings or any due process, where the President’s counsel would be allowed to present evidence and cross-examine witnesses, is as lawless as the invasion of the Capitol, albeit less violent.

It is based on the lie that President Trump incited the criminal invasion of the Capitol.

The Washington Post reported that the FBI was aware of plans to invade the Capitol before January 6th. Capitol Police Chief Steven Sund said the rioters, “came with riot helmets, gas masks, shields, pepper spray, fireworks, climbing gear — climbing gear! — explosives, metal pipes, baseball bats.”

Obviously, they planned an attack long before Trump spoke.

The rioters could not have been “incited” by the President because they probably heard little or none of his speech. The President’s speech lasted from 12:00 p.m. to 1:11 p.m. According to Chief Sund, the assault on Capitol police started at 12:40 p.m. According to Bing, under normal conditions, it takes 32 minutes to walk from the Ellipse to the Capitol. This means the rioters had to leave no later than 12:08 p.m. On January 6th, however, due to crowds, it took 45 minutes to make that walk. This means the rioters had to leave the Ellipse, if they were ever there, by 11:55 p.m, before the President’s speech started.

Even if they had heard the speech, President Trump never called for force, violence, or overthrow of government. He made only the following comments on the Capitol:

“We’re going walk down to the Capitol, and we’re going to cheer on our brave senators, and congressmen and women. We’re probably not going to be cheering so much for some of them because you’ll never take back our country with weakness. You have to show strength, and you have to be strong.

“We have come to demand that Congress do the right thing and only count the electors who have been lawfully slated, lawfully slated. I know that everyone here will soon be marching over to the Capitol building to peacefully and patriotically make your voices heard.”

To impeach a President based on his asking his supporters for a peaceful march to the Capitol in order to “make your voices heard,” violates the First Amendment guarantees of freedom of speech and assembly.

The President’s critics have ignored his call for peaceful demonstration. They have quoted, out of context, his statement made not two minutes before the end of his speech, when no rioters could have been there to hear them, that, “And we fight. We fight like Hell and if you don’t fight like Hell, you’re not going to have a country.”

In fact, just as Obama stated that Democrats should bring a gun to a knife fight, the President repeatedly used “fight” to refer to “fighting” in the legislatures, courts, elections and in the media. He referred to Jim Jordan fighting in Congress. Did he mean that Jordan was punching his colleagues? Did Obama mean that Democrats should engage in knife fights with Republicans but use a gun to win?

As for the President controlling the rioters, the Washington Post reported that, “’4:30: Outside the east side of the Capitol, a man with a megaphone announced to a crowd of hundreds: ‘Hey, everyone, Donald Trump says he wants everyone to go home.’ In response, some in the crowd booed loudly.

One man shouted back: ‘Shut the f— up! We’re not going to bend a knee, motherf—–!’”

The impeachment is a lawless and irrational abuse of power.

DONALD BOHLKEN

Which brings me to a REASON.ORG article that I read that was helpful…

….Citing unnamed “officials,” the Times reports that Trump “was initially pleased” when some of his supporters “stormed into the Capitol” and that he “disregarded aides pleading with him to intercede.” But about 20 minutes after the demonstration turned violent, Trump urged his supporters to “stay peaceful.” Half an hour later, he reiterated that message: “I am asking for everyone at the U.S. Capitol to remain peaceful. No violence! Remember, WE are the Party of Law & Order—respect the Law and our great men and women in Blue.” Later that day, he recorded a message urging the protesters to “go home now,” saying “we have to have peace,” even while continuing to insist that “we had an election that was stolen from us.”

Trump did not advocate violence, even in general terms. If his remarks qualify as incitement to riot, so would similarly fiery rhetoric at other protests that are marked by violence.

In 2016, a Baton Rouge police officer who was injured during a Black Lives Matter demonstration sued one of the movement’s leaders, DeRay Mckesson, saying he “incited the violence.” A federal judge dismissed the lawsuit after concluding that Mckesson “solely engaged in protected speech” at the protest. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the 5th Circuit later revived the lawsuit, but its decision focused on the allegation that Mckesson “directed the demonstrators to engage in [a] criminal act” by blocking a highway, which “quite consequentially provoked a confrontation between the Baton Rouge police and the protesters.”

Trump, by contrast, did not commit a crime or urge others to do so, even if the violence that followed his speech was predictable. His opponents may regret establishing a precedent that speakers who neither commit nor advocate violence can be prosecuted for the criminal conduct of people inspired by their words.

Yep.

Which leads me to have a heart of hope with the caliber of some of our Representatives in Congress, and some of their speeches I heard while driving yesterday:


SPEECHES


Rep. Tom McClintock, R-Calif., argued against moving forward with a second impeachment against the president during House debate Jan. 13. Democrats are pursuing a quick second impeachment a week after President Donald Trump gave a speech they say incited insurrection. On Jan. 6, while Congress was in the process of counting electoral votes and certifying President-elect Joe Biden’s win, a pro-Trump mob stormed the Capitol, clashed with police, and forced lawmakers to pause their sessions and evacuate to safety.

SUPPORT: FIERY SPEECHES

Rep. Louie Gohmert Uses Pelosi’s Own Words Against Her

TWITTER GOES NUTS! (Proving Gohmert’s Point)

THE FEDEERALIST and JUST THE NEWS notes the progressive Left and some media outlets thinking these are violent words. Correct:

Corporate media journalists and left-wing activists took to social media on Wednesday to spread claims that Republican Rep. Louie Gohmert of Texas is in favor of inciting insurrection.

“Here’s a quote. ‘I just don’t even know why there aren’t more uprisings all over the country, and maybe there will be,’” Gohmert said on the House floor during the impeachment debate. 

While Gohmert specified that what he was saying was a quote, taken directly from House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s previous statements encouraging uprisings, journalists and activists quickly twisted his words, publicly speculating and claiming he was calling for increased political violence around the nation.

[….]

Democrats are pursuing a quick second impeachment a week after President Donald Trump gave a speech they say incited insurrection. On Jan. 6, while Congress was in the process of counting Electoral Votes and certifying President-elect Joe Biden’s win, a pro-Trump mob stormed the Capitol, clashed with police, and forced lawmakers to pause their sessions and evacuate to safety. Rep. Jim Jordan, R-Ohio, said Democrats are pursuing an impeachment because they want to “cancel” him. He said Republicans condemn all violence, and that Democrats hold Republicans to a double standard. Jordan said “cancel culture” is attacking the First Amendment, and warned if it doesn’t stop, “it will come for us all.” He touted Trump’s accomplishments but did not address the president’s rhetoric in his speech before the Capitol riot. He added that a second impeachment will further divide the nation.

SUPPORT: HEADLINES MENTIONED

Nancy Pelosi said in 2019 they have been trying to impeach Trump for 2-and-a-half-years.

She said it three separate times and so I take her at her word (RPT). Here are some of the article Rep. Jordan was making reference to:

  • There was this racy headline, from Vanity Fair on Nov. 14, 2016: “Will Trump Be Impeached?”
  • Then this, yet another Vanity Fair piece, on Dec. 15, 2016: “Democrats Are Paving the Way to Impeach Donald Trump.”
  • There was this, from The New York Times, in an opinion headline from Nov. 3, 2016: “Donald Trump’s Impeachment Threat.”
  • Remember: Trump wasn’t inaugurated until Jan. 20, 2017. He wasn’t even elected president until Nov. 8, 2016.

[Even a GOPer FOR impeachment makes some critically important points]

Rep. Chip Roy, R-Texas, said that President Donald Trump deserves “universal condemnation” for perpetuating the false claim that there was widespread fraud in the Nov. 6 election, and for pressuring Vice President Mike Pence to violate his Constitutional duty to count Electoral College votes. While Roy said Trump’s efforts to interfere with the election results amount to what he believes are an impeachable offense, he called the articles drafted by House Democrats “flawed and unsupportable,” and expressed concern they would lead to the stifling of free expression by focusing on incitement and insurrection. “Let us condemn that which must be condemned, and let us do so loudly,” Roy said. “But let us do it the right way, with deliberation, and without disastrous side effects.”


MARK LEVIN


I added a couple videos (President Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris) to enhance Levin’s audio. I think this is a must hear first hour of radio!

Former DC Prosecutor: Trump Did Not Incite (Larry Elder)

To meet the legal definition of incitement, you need statements like the above not to be in the incitement. Also, the legal incitement charge needs to show as well the continued incitement, and not calling for peace, after the understanding of violence. Even with the admission that Trump has made to Kevin McCarthy that he feels somewhat responsible for Wednesday’s event, he did not incite the crowd. In other words, both things can be true… Trump not realizing the “quality” of the crowd and the mixed intentions of it… for instance, this man and his family:

Which is my segue into an excellent post by RIGHT SCOOP quoting a Wall Street Journal article.

An interesting opinion piece ran in the Wall Street Journal yesterday by a former prosecutor who has a history of convicting protesters in Washington DC. Jeffrey Scott Shapiro wrote that while it is a crime to incite a riot in the nation’s capital, President Trump is not guilty of doing it:

The president didn’t commit incitement or any other crime. I should know. As a Washington prosecutor I earned the nickname “protester prosecutor” from the antiwar group CodePink. In one trial, I convicted 31 protesters who disrupted congressional traffic by obstructing the Capitol Crypt. In another, I convicted a CodePink activist who smeared her hands with fake blood, charged at then-Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice in a House hearing room, and incited the audience to seize the secretary of state physically. In other cases, I dropped charges when the facts fell short of the legal standard for incitement. One such defendant was the antiwar activist Cindy Sheehan.

Hostile journalists and lawmakers have suggested Mr. Trump incited the riot when he told a rally that Republicans need to “fight much harder.” Mr. Trump suggested the crowd walk to the Capitol: “We’re going to cheer on brave senators and congressmen and -women, and we’re probably not going to be cheering so much for some of them. Because you’ll never take back our country with weakness. You have to show strength and you have to be strong.”

“To peacefully and patriotically make your voices heard”

The president didn’t mention violence on Wednesday, much less provoke or incite it. He said, “I know that everyone here will soon be marching over to the Capitol building to peacefully and patriotically make your voices heard.”

District law defines a riot as “a public disturbance . . . which by tumultuous and violent conduct or the threat thereof creates grave danger of damage or injury to property or persons.” When Mr. Trump spoke, there was no “public disturbance,” only a rally. The “disturbance” came later at the Capitol by a small minority who entered the perimeter and broke the law. They should be prosecuted.

The president’s critics want him charged for inflaming the emotions of angry Americans. That alone does not satisfy the elements of any criminal offense, and therefore his speech is protected by the Constitution that members of Congress are sworn to support and defend.

Someone send this to Pelosi, because I’m sure it’ll change her mind!

Lol, in case you didn’t catch it, that last sentence I included was sarcasm. That being said, I think the Democrats and the Left saying “all white people are racist” in one of the most “inciteful” thing someone could say! (Examples here, here, here, and here — I could give hundreds of examples, but that should suffice).

However, I wanted to include some examples via Larry Elder of the hypocrisy of the Left:

This video is from Larry’s YouTube Channel (here). At the end of his small montage I add video of a larger call to violence by [hypocritical] Democrats.

 

Duly Elected Should Have Been Biden’s Answer

Larry Elder plays a question to Biden on the campaign trail and then the Sage responds how Democrats expect others to think regarding Biden’s Presidency. For more on Trump being tough on Russia, see here: Trump, Tougher On Putin Than Obama

Larry Elder Covers The Capitol Incident

This is from yesterdays show (1/7/2021), and is a large sample of why The Sage is great at what he does. I add some video which radio only allows audio to play, as well as adding some of the video from  @The Larry Elder Show — HERE:  Enjoy, it is a stitching of large sections from all three hours.

Last segment of the above is a great shorter listen. This is the last portion of a larger audio, HERE. Larry Elder discusses new studies – but included one from the 1970s… this is the first time I have heard this particular study

If Trump Is A Racist… He Needs To Go Back To Racism School

  • 49% of Democrats think Trump voters are racist — July 2019
  • 83% of Democrats think Trump is racist — June 2020

After becoming the leader of the Democratic party in the Senate in 2017, Schumer spent the last four long years accusing time and time again President Trump is a racist. Flashback to 1974: Sen. Schumer came to power as an Assemblyman by an overtly racist scheme he created to force out Black people from a neighborhood in Brooklyn, New York. Much to his dismay, the plan failed, and the residents remained in the neighborhood with nicer digs. To this day, the saint of anti-racism somehow still has a no-fly zone over him.

Trump is the worst RAAACIST EVA!

  • Historic black unemployment;
  • First Step Act;
  • Music Modernization  Act;
  • School Choice;
  • Illegal Immigration;
  • Pardons;
  • ETC.

If Trump Is A Racist… He Needs To Go Back To Racism School.


President Trump is still constantly called racist by many people, but his policies towards black Americans prove quite the opposite. Larry takes a deep dive into the various policies and positions the President has taken that have benefited black Americans across the nation.

In the midst of The Democratic Party and the media labeling President Trump’s remarks about Congresswomen Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Illhan Omar, Rashida Tlaib and Ayanna Pressley as racist, Larry decides to do some digging. What did the president actually say? How long has the Democratic Party been labeling Republicans as racist? Have race relations actually worsened under Trump? Larry answers all these questions and more in this week’s episode.


….78% of Democrats, according to an August 2018 Gallup poll, believe that “Russians interfered in the 2016 campaign and that it changed the outcome of the election.” Never mind that Jeh Johnson, President Barack Obama’s secretary of Homeland Security, in his 2017 prepared testimony before Congress, said: “On Election Day, DHS assembled a crisis-response team to rapidly address any reported cyber intrusions into the election process. To my current knowledge, the Russian government did not through any cyber intrusion alter ballots, ballot counts or reporting of election results.”

Whatever Russia, China or Iran did to meddle with our elections pales in comparison to the impact of our biased, bigoted, Republican-hating, class-warfare waging, secular, “health care is a right,” “there’s no such thing as illegal people, only ‘undocumented,'” Donald Trump-hating media. Let’s compare the impact of Russian, Chinese or Iranian election interference with the election interference of the American media.

In his book “Left Turn: How Liberal Media Bias Distorts the American Mind,” Professor Tim Groseclose, economics and political science professor, attempts to quantify the impact of our left-wing media. How do our overwhelmingly liberal media affect how Americans think and vote? Groseclose wrote in 2011:

“For the past several years, I have researched this question, trying to solve the following thought experiment: What if media bias were suddenly to disappear? In such a world, how would America look and act politically?

“The answer is, approximately like Texas.” (Note: This year, President Trump handily won that state.)

“More specifically, if media bias were to disappear, according to the analysis, then America would think and vote like any region that voted around 56-43 percent for Republican John McCain in the last presidential election. Besides Texas, such regions include Kansas, North Dakota, Kentucky, Salt Lake County, Utah, and Orange County, Calif.”

Dean Baquet, executive editor of The New York Times, once admitted, “The left, as a rule, does not want to hear thoughtful disagreement.” Given this mentality, liberals, Democrats and the media find Trump absolutely, positively insufferable. This raises a question. Mr. Biden, which side needs to heal?

(LARRY ELDER)

(See also THE FEDERALIST)

 

Highly Unusual Election Probabilities | Patrick Basham

Larry Elder travels through some highly unusual outcomes of the election. The newest member of the chorus is an article from Patrick Basham:

  • Reasons Why The 2020 Presidential Election Is Deeply Puzzling: If Only Cranks Find the Tabulations Strange, Put Me Down As A Crank (SPECTATOR)

The other articles that are a must read are these:

  • 5 More Ways Joe Biden Magically Outperformed Election Norms: Surely The Journalist Class Should Be Intrigued By The Historic Implausibility Of Joe Biden’s Victory. That They Are Not Is Curious, To Say The Least (THE FEDERALIST);
  • Legitimacy Of Biden Win Buried By Objective Data: Emerging Information From The States Render His Victory Less And Less Plausible (AMERICAN SPECTATOR).

Some Quick Thoughts Of Where We Stand (Part 2)

KEY: If any votes are thrown out through either fraud, breaking the law (the court ruling), or mishandling the count (not allowing poll watchers), then this is only the fault of one Party. DEMOCRATS!

FIRST! the latest

Yesterday I was letting people know (family and friends) the following: “165,000 in Philly, and 330,000 in Pitts were processed against state law.  If shown true in court, 80%  of Bidens and 20% of Trumps ballots would be nixed. Trump would win PA. Ohio’s AG asked SCOTUS to rule against the lower court usurping PA’s voting law. Missouri AG asked as well, saying the court ruling shouldn’t be able to change state election laws.” It was based on this as I was doing deliveries (I added the Pam Bondi video from a couple days earlier to give context to Giuliani):

Via “Our plan for the President. Rudy Giuliani with Sebastian Gorka on AMERICA First“.
I added the Pam Bondi video which I have a fuller version on in this audio: “Hans von Spakovsky On Election Integrity

THE QUESTION

The question was basically, Justice Alito asked for PA to separate the late votes where signatures and postmarks may have not been up to Pennsylvania election law — if these ballots are simply mixed in the rest [to hide the irregularities], what is the possible action. Remember, a court added to election law, whereas the state legislature is the only entity that can change election law/rules/procedures… not mayors, city councils, or governors or the courts. IN FACT, the Attorney Generals of Louisiana, Missouri, and Oklahoma are urging SCOTUS to overturn the lower courts ruling. Why? Because the chaos Democrats created in PA would spread to other states where Democrat Judges would wantonly rule on issues of election laws. Here is more from THE DAILY SIGNAL:

Three of the state attorneys general—Jeff Landry of Louisiana, Eric Schmitt of Missouri, and Mike Hunter of Oklahoma—held a virtual press conference Monday to announce the filing of an amicus brief in the Pennsylvania mail-in ballot challenge brought by the Pennsylvania Republican Party, which is before the Supreme Court.

“We are weighing in on a case, on a writ, that has been brought to the U.S. Supreme Court in order to bring additional arguments before the court as to why we believe the court should take up this matter,” said Landry, chairman of the Republican Attorneys General Association.

In unofficial results contested by President Donald Trump’s reelection campaign, Democratic challenger Joe Biden got 49.8% of the vote in Pennsylvania to Trump’s 49.1%. The president has not conceded the election, which major media outlets called Saturday for Biden after some put Pennsylvania in the former vice president’s column….

FACEBOOK CONVO, NOVEMBER 6th/7th

In a previous conversation on Facebook with an ex-co-worker, this is what I noted:

Granted, my original statement was a misrepresentation of what I heard in a short clip on the radio while driving. Getting in and out of the vehicle I drive, turning the sound down while on a studio lot (windows open no sound [not even the AC on] when reversing on a lot, etc). I will emphasize though what my correction said to explain better the following:

ORIGINAL POST and CLARIFICATION

[Original Statement] Biden does worse than Hillary and Obama in every state except WI, GA, MI, and PA. Lol

[Talk to text additional context] I misspoke Chris Lazar, the stat I heard was from a story LIKE THIS (Biden Is Underperforming Hillary in Battleground States) I believe Biden outperformed Hillary in those counties [cities] that many of the questionable practices [late ballots and blocking watchers, large percentages found for a single candidate, etc] happened.

[While in stopped traffic that old article I read was all I could find, not the article mentioned by the radio personality] This is what I should have been clearer on in messaging (RUSH LIMBAUGH):

Joe Biden underperformed Hillary Clinton in every major metro area around the country,” except… Are you ready? “Milwaukee, Detroit, Atlanta and Philadelphia.”

Let me go through this again. “Joe Biden underperformed Hillary Clinton in every major metro area” except for four. Milwaukee (i.e., Wisconsin), Detroit (i.e., Michigan), Atlanta (i.e., Georgia), Philadelphia (i.e., Pennsylvania.) It just so happened to be the four states that are gonna put Biden over the top in their scenarios here.

Here are two recent articles for clarity discussing this in-depth [and the portion not excerpted is a portion that supports some of Chris’s points from a previous discussion, FYI]. And this one example of Milwaukee is a reply in a sense to Chris’s nide LOL/TEAR emojis and missfounded response when I said this clearly:

  • (ME) the stat I heard was from a story LIKE THIS
  • (Chris) 😂😂😂😂 that’s an article from AUGUST 28TH!!!!!
  • (ME) I am driving now, but there is a fresher comparison
  • (Chris) stop digging to try & fit the fraud hoax

The following is a combination of JONATHAN TURLEY’S article as well as THE FEDERALIST’S article:

…..In Michigan, ballot counters take unreadable ballots, and transcribe them to blank ballots, while a poll challenger from the Democrat, and the Republican parties, observe. They sign off each ballot transcribed. Instead, in violation of state law, GOP poll challengers were made to leave the room, and the windows blocked with cardboard. Ballot counters cheered, on camera, each time a GOP poll challenger was made to leave. One Republican poll challenger, Connarn, said that a counter told her that they were changing the dates on ballots received too late in order to count them. The counter allegedly handed her a note confirming it. As soon as that happened, the Republican was told to leave….

In 2008, Barack Obama received 316,916 votes in Milwaukee County. In 2016, Hilary Clinton won only 288,822 votes there. But in 2020 Biden outperformed them both, receiving 317,251 votes countywide and besting Obama’s share of the vote by nearly two points.

What makes this suspicious is that the county is shrinking. The Census Bureau population estimates show that in the last 10 years, thousands of metro Milwaukee residents have left the area for other parts of the state and country. As the Milwaukee Sentinel put it, “We’re lagging in a key metric that often reflects the vitality and desirability of a metro area: population growth.” The City of Milwaukee, which makes up about 60 percent of the county’s population, saw the number of registered voter decline by more than 26,700 from 2008 to 2020.

While it’s true that Obama in 2008 won about 18,000 more votes than Biden in the City of Milwaukee itself, one would also expect the countywide vote total for Biden to be less than Obama. Obama was a historic figure that motivated record numbers of blacks to vote in 2008. In addition, he had one of the most robust and successful campaigns in American history. His ground game and get-out-the-vote efforts were unprecedented, utilizing door knocking, canvassing, and phone banking. Not surprisingly, in no small part because of the black vote in Milwaukee County, he won the state of Wisconsin handily by a 6.9-percent margin.

[….]

The numbers in Milwaukee County suggest something fishy is happening in Wisconsin, and the Trump campaign is right to call for a recount.

So the above was for clarity.

CHARLIE KIRK ADDS TO THE ABOVE

Now, because of all of the above, REAL CLEAR POLITICS (hat-tip, 100% FED-UP):

BOOM!

Remember what I told my family and friends two days ago (Link Below) — and we are in the midst of either scenario:

Never before has an election been overturned by the amount of spread between the two candidates.

But, Trump has accomplished many hurdles. So there are many tracks I see happening.

One is [best case scenario] that SCOTUS is going to reject ballots after the 3rd (8pm) of November. The ballots not allowed to be jointly viewed by GOP/DEM “minders” need to be reviewed again, the ballots “cured” while not under view within 6-feet of GOP persons will be fully rejected because of that and that the equal “curing” didn’t happen in other districts for heavy Trump areas. [“Curing” happened in multiple districts in multiple states]. The machines (software) that “glitched” in the district in MI is in 30 states. ALL those ballots need to be hand counted and viewed properly. If this happens, Trump may win….BEST CASE.

WORSE CASE? Trump is a lame duck but uses his last couple months to install an independent council to look into Bidens’s’ dealings.  Using his position to show everyone how corrupt the Democrat machine is and the depths of cheating elections, thus, taking away the peoples real power. As he heads into the sunset helping set up a revived GOP machine to help fight the retarded philosophy of the Left’s corruption and depths of depravity in socialism.

Some Quick Thoughts Of Where We Stand (+ Article Dump)

 

Kristi Noem Speaks With George Stephanopoulos

Former Clintonista Stephanopoulos pushed the Democratic line, claiming there had been no evidence of widespread fraud. But Noem stopped him short (RED STATE).

“And that is not true,” Noem answered. “People have signed legal documents, affidavits, stating that they saw illegal activities and that is why we need to have this conversation in court. The New York Times itself has said there were clerical errors. … in Michigan we had computer glitches that turned Republican votes to Democrat votes. You look in Pennsylvania, dead people voted in Pennsylvania.” [….]

“So George, I don’t know how widespread it is. I don’t know if it will change the outcome of the election,” Noem admitted. “But why is everybody so scared just to have a fair election and find out? We gave Al Gore 37 days to run the process before we decided who was going to be president. Why would we not afford the 70.6 million Americans who voted for Trump the same consideration?”

Click graphic to go to video:

Stories W/Larry Elder (Airport Conversations)

Larry Elder shares a conversation he had in an airport with a gentleman wearing a “Protect Black Women” t-shirt on.

Another story From Larry Elder in an airport, this time discussion with a military dad/pastor opened up to another person expressing his dislike for Trump over calling Elizabeth Warren “Pocahontas.” The Sage uses his “golf analogy” to make a point. Spec-Ops father/pastor noted that our enemies fear Trump.

A caller tries his best to prove to Larry Elder “systematic racism” is a fact. The interaction goes predictably. Thomas Sowell recently opined on the matter (via WASHINGTON EXAMINER)

Some Quick Thoughts Of Where We Stand (+ Article Dump)

  • BETS? Over/Under bets? I think Biden will last until no later than Nov. 11th of 2021, and then step down. (But 6-months is a safe bet — 3-and-a-half- years seems like the number — in political and Christian time at least.) Then his socialist VP takes over the Presidency.

There are 71,000,000 Americans that are our friend’s in arms. Take Heart and as AMERICAN GREATNESS says, “[Trump] should pursue every constitutional and legal means to dispute these funny results and take it all the way to Congress.” BE THE HAPPY WARRIOR.

Also note, President Trump is taking Hillary Clinton’s advice to Biden:

  • “Joe Biden [insert Trump] should not concede under any circumstances, because I think this is going to drag out, and eventually I do believe he will win if we don’t give an inch, and if we are as focused and relentless as the other side is

During her interview Sidney dropped several bombs including this: That Democrats manufactured 450,000 votes in battleground states that miraculously ONLY have a vote for Joe Biden.

What I told my boys:

Never before has an election been overturned by the amount of spread between the two candidates.

But, Trump has accomplished many hurdles. So there are many tracks I see happening.

One is [best case scenario] that SCOTUS is going to reject ballots after the 3rd (8pm) of November. The ballots not allowed to be jointly viewed by GOP/DEM “minders” need to be reviewed again, the ballots “cured” while not under view within 6-feet of GOP persons will be fully rejected because of that and that the equal “curing” didn’t happen in other districts for heavy Trump areas. [“Curing” happened in multiple districts in multiple states]. The machines (software) that “glitched” in the district in MI is in 30 states. ALL those ballots need to be hand counted and viewed properly. If this happens, Trump may win….BEST CASE.

WORSE CASE? Trump is a lame duck but uses his last couple months to install an independent council to look into Bidens’s’ dealings.  Using his position to show everyone how corrupt the Democrat machine is and the depths of cheating elections, thus, taking away the peoples real power. As he heads into the sunset helping set up a revived GOP machine to help fight the retarded philosophy of the Left’s corruption and depths of depravity in socialism.

Either way our country will still be like this:

When Joe Biden and other Democrats and media outlets say the votes he has received have given him a mandate to fight climate change and systemic racism, he has received no such mandate (LEGAL INSURRECTION). Either transparency needs to happen in the election process or our country will be more divided than ever. (Remember, the Left and Democrat officials has called every Republican Presidential candidate since Goldwater a racist… it has just gotten worse against Trump and Republicans with the New Left).

When Democrats and media outlets say we should unify behind Biden…

How can I unify with these two (Biden and Harris) who called me a racist bigot? Paw-lease.

Before the election the news media predicted Joe Biden would win by 12-15 points and the Republicans would lose 15 to 20 House seats. The GOP won 28 of 29 of the most competitive US House seats. Republicans DID NOT LOSE one single House seat! The Republicans also took control of three more state legislatures.

But Trump lost. LOL. So, where are we?

  • Lawsuits starts on Monday
  • 50/60 poll watchers, some attorneys, will testify about deprived the right to inspect mail-in’s
  • 300k ballots in Pittsburgh not inspected by R’s
  • (Similar issues in GA MI NC and other states)
  • witnesses of back dating mail-ins (USPS and Poll Whistleblowers)

Here is my Sunday Morning Article Dump:


SUNDAY DUMP


EYEWITNESS, WHISTLEBLOWERS OR FILMED EXAMPLES (LEGAL ISSUES)

  • Ballot Clerks in Wisconsin Allegedly Added Witness Statements To Thousands of Invalid Ballots (RED STATE)
  • Detroit Ballot Tabulators Entered Names of Non-Voters During Count (BREITBART)
  • PA-based USPS Whistleblower Richard Hopkins Comes Forward & Agrees to Testify; Whistleblower Testifies Late Ballots Back-Dated for Nov. 3, Election Day; Whistleblower: Other Employees Feel the Same…Contacted Me (PROJECT VERITAS | WASHINGTON TIMES)
  • Postal Service Inspectors Interview Erie, Pa. USPS ‘Postmark’ Whistleblower; Whistleblower to O’Keefe: ‘I Told Them What I Told You’; Third Post Office Whistleblower: USPS Sorts Late-Ballots to Special Bins For Future Counting (PROJECT VERITAS)
  • Las Vegas Mailman Agrees To Pass On ‘A Nice Handful’ Of Unclaimed Ballots To Project Veritas Undercover Journalist: ‘If It’s In There—I Didn’t Do It.’ (PROJECT VERITAS)
  • Eyewitness Says as Many as 20,000 Unverified Absentee Ballots Counted in Detroit Primary (BREITBART)
  • GOP Poll Watcher Alleges Fraud at Detroit Ballot-Counting Center (BREITBART)
  • Nevada Whistleblower Says He Witnessed Processing of Illegitimate Votes (BREITBART)
  • Nevada Whistleblower Says He Was Told To Process Ballots Without Signature Verification (WESTERN JOURAL)

NOT ALLOWED IN

  • Stunning Video Shows Philadelphia Poll Watchers Observing Vote From Across Room With Binoculars (100% FED-UP | TWITTER VIDEO)
  • Lisette Tarragano from #Philadelphia: We should all be concerned, we are being constrained (TWITTER VIDEO)
  • Poll watcher in #Philadelphia: What I saw was disturbing, they did it so we couldn’t observe or challenge it (TWITTER VIDEO)
  • Poll watcher in #Philadelphia: “We just want a fair election” (TWITTER VIDEO)
  • This is the kind of intimidation poll challengers at the TCF Center in Detroit were exposed to (TWITTER VIDEO)
  • Poll Workers Filling In Ballots – Gues What They Are Missing? People from Independent, GOP, and Democrat “minders” Watching for Integrity (TWITTER VIDEO | YOUTUBE VIDEO)
  • Volunteer Reportedly Busted Handling Ballots Unsupervised in Philadelphia Cafeteria (WESTERN JOURNAL | TWITTER VIDEO)

MORE LEGAL MOVES

  • Administrative changes in Wisconsin election put tens of thousands of votes in question: From allowing clerks to fix spoiled ballots to permitting voters to escape ID rules, Wisconsin election officials took actions that were not authorized by legislature. (JUST THE NEWS)
  • Michigan Legislature Subpoenas Election Officials (PJ-MEDIA)
  • SCOTUS, Justice Alito orders Pennsylvania to separate LATE ballots from the ON TIME ones (RIGHT SCOOP | THE FEDERALIST | DAILY WIRE)
  • GEORGIA UPDATE (POWERLINE)
  • Pennsylvania House Speaker seeks ‘full audit’ of election returns before certification: Pennsylvania senate majority leader says it’s too early to tell if the secretary of state’s handling of the rejected mail-in ballots on the county level will have a significant impact on the vote count in the state (JUST THE NEWS)
  • Lawyers for Nevada GOP cite claims of voter-fraud in criminal referral to Attorney General Barr: Reports of fraudulent voting practice have been ticking up in the western state that has yet to tally all of its votes (JUST THE NEWS)
  • Pennsylvania orders counties to separate provisional ballots from count while court makes a decision: A Pennsylvania court will determine whether some provisional ballots cast on Election Day should be counted if the voter had originally voted by mail or with an absentee ballot (JUST THE NEWS)
  • Trump, RNC sue Arizona over rejected votes (WASHINGTON TIMES)

INVESTIGATIVE & WORTHWHILE ARTICLES

  • Was the Election Stolen from Trump? He should pursue every constitutional and legal means to dispute these funny results and take it all the way to Congress (AMERICAN GREATNESS)
  • Ken Starr: Pennsylvania Ballot Extension ‘Constitutional Travesty’ (NEWSMAX)
  • Confessions of a voter fraud: I was a master at fixing mail-in ballots (NEW YORK POST)
  • James O’Keefe, the founder and CEO of Project Veritas, said, “Our journalists found spoiled ballots that were supposed to be preserved—but, instead were thrown out with the trash.” (PROJECT VERITAS)
  • Rate of rejected mail-in ballots almost 30 times lower in Pennsylvania this year than in 2016 (JUST THE NEWS)
  • Alan Dershowitz to Newsmax TV: Court Challenge Hinges on Numbers (NEWSMAX)
  • Voter Fraud In Michigan (POWERLINE)
  • GOP Rep. Scalise: Election Laws, ‘Transparency’ Violated (NEWSMAX)
  • ‘American Hustle’: Party Insiders Tell The True Story Of How Philadelphia Elections Work (THE FEDERALIST)
  • Reports Of Election Fraud Keep Piling Up In Michigan. What’s Going On? (THE FEDERALIST)
  • They should probably be looking into Minnesota big time #BallotHarvesting (TWITTER VIDEO)
  • Trump Campaign Mobilizes Historic Ground Game to Make Sure Legal Ballots Count (PJ-MEDIA)
  • Stealing Philadelphia: Landslide Joe puts Landslide Lyndon’s theft of a Senate seat to shame (AMERICAN SPECTATOR)
  • Stealing Pennsylvania (AMERICAN THINKER)
  • Philly’s long history of corruption includes judge convicted of bribery to cast fraudulent ballots: Just six months ago, a former Philadelphia Judge of Elections was convicted for his role in accepting bribes to cast fraudulent ballots and certifying false voting results during the 2014, 2015, and 2016 primary elections (JUST THE NEWS)
  • Michigan county flips back to Trump, following repair of voting software glitch: Reliably GOP county had originally swung to Biden (JUST THE NEWS)
  • Wisconsin Clerks May Have Altered Thousands Of Ballots To Make Them Valid… (WEASEL ZIPPERS)
  • More Troubling Questions Raised About Election System Used in Contested Races In Swing States (RED STATE)
  • Quantifying Illegal Votes Cast by Non-Citizens in the Battleground States of the 2020 Presidential Election (JUST FACTS DAILY)
  • RNC Chair: Detroit Election Worker Blows Whistle On Cheating Operation…”All Election Workers” Were Reportedly Told To Backdate Ballots [VIDEO] (100% FED-UP)
  • GOP Beware: The Republican Party Did Not Carry 71,000,000+ Votes, President Trump Did… (CONSERVATIVE TREE HOUSE)
  • VIRGINIA: In Tight Race, Officials Miraculously Find 15,000 Mostly Dem Votes On USB Flash Drive: It’s all so hard to believe, unless you’re a Democrat (NATIONAL FILE)
  • Mathematical impossibilities may be what trips up Democrat plans (AMERICAN THIINKER)

Last Post On Reason’s Trump Can Win (BIGLY!) |UPDATED 11-3|

(Note, I have added items throughout this post)
5:20 am update


Updated  11-3 (AM)


What we are seeing is a movement toward Trump with late breakers. We are also seeing folks that had initially given every indication that they were going to support Biden or they were undecided moving toward Trump. And the issue we see moving on is the shutdowns. Even young people we’ve identified who don’t like the president. They like shutdowns even less. Even suburban women who said they have problems with the president, they like their children home and shutdowns even less. — Robert Cahaly

CONS

  • “Biden leads, 52% to 42%, among registered voters in national WSJ/NBC News poll; race in battleground states is narrowing.”…. (“President Trump Trails Joe Biden by 10 Points Nationally in Final Days of Election” — WSJ)
  • To borrow from Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman, “I’ve seen enough.” No, I don’t know who’s going to win the election. According to our forecast, President Trump still has a chance at a second term: a 10 percent chance, to be more specific…. (“Trump Can Still Win, But The Polls Would Have To Be Off By Way More Than In 2016” — 538)
  • Some WASHINGTON POST maps and scenarios.

PROS

  • If Biden is collapsing this late in Iowa, it’s reasonable to assume he has a late collapse elsewhere in the Midwest that might not yet be captured in polling…. (“Something’s happening here: Trump and Ernst surge to substantial leads in final Des Moines Register polls” — LEGAL INSURRECTION | THE BLAZE)
  • A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll finds that Joe Biden leads President Trump nationally by 10 points, 52-42. The poll also finds that the race is somewhat tighter in 12 states the pollsters identify as “swing states.” Even so, if these poll numbers reflect the true state of the race, Trump has almost no chance of winning. On the other hand, a new poll by Democracy Institute/Sunday Express has the popular vote split evenly, with Trump nominally ahead by 48-47. In the “swing states” including Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, Trump leads 49-45 according to this survey. The Democracy Institute poll is an outlier, for sure. However, it correctly forecast Brexit and Trump’s 2016 upset victory…. (“Dueling Poll Numbers And Grounds For Optimism” — POWERLINE)
  • ‘This newspaper has not supported a Republican for president since 1972’ One of Pennsylvania’s top newspapers has endorsed President Donald Trump over Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden, a major win for Trump in a state that is critical to winning the White House. The endorsement was even more significant because the newspaper has not endorsed a Republican for president in nearly a half-century. The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette editorial board, one of Pennsylvania’s largest newspapers, revealed late Saturday that Trump is their man…. (“Top Swing-State Newspaper Hasn’t Endorsed Republican In Almost 50 Years — But Is Backing Trump Now” — THE BLAZE)
  • (Map to the right is by Bruce Carrol… had to throw him in the mix! Click to enlarge)
  • Robert Cahaly, a pollster and political consultant who is the founder of the Trafalgar Group, is helping fuel questions with a series of polls showing Mr. Trump running stronger in battleground states than conventional wisdom suggests. “These polls are predominantly missing the hidden Trump vote — what is referred to as the shy Trump voters,” Mr. Cahaly said recently on Fox News. “I definitely think it is going to be a surprise,” he told The Washington Times last week. “I think people just lie to pollsters.”…. (“Trump’S Hidden Vote In Question: ‘I Think People Just Lie To Pollsters'” — WASHINGTON TIMES)
  • From Minnesota to New Hampshire, Biden is down. PollWatch, Larry Schweikart, and David Chapman have been some of the people who have been tracking the early vote totals and the overall state of polling, in general, this cycle, cutting through the liberal nonsense. … (“If New Batch of Polls are Correct, Trump Will Soar Past 300 Electoral Votes” — TOWNHALL)
  • The wonks are partially right: crowd sizes and rallies, caravans and carnival do not necessarily translate to all-important votes. But they are forgetting a few things. For all the intricacy and sophistication an election model may possess, it doesn’t know people. It doesn’t account for history. No model, not in my lifetime, will ever come close to doing so. Consider this: On the admittedly fun swing-state generator at FiveThirtyEight, Joe Biden’s odds are around 90 percent. Hand Florida over to President Trump, and Biden is still strongly favored with 69 chances in 100. Yet Florida has picked the winner in every presidential election except one since 1964. Without Ross Perot in 1992, Florida’s record would be unblemished…. (“Trump: Always Be Closing” — AMERICAN GREATNESS)
  • In conclusion, Trump is well on his way to gain at least a 10-point increase in Latino and black votes combined.  Both groups make up about 32% of the Florida electorate and will likely have the same share of the votes.  This means that Trump can afford to lose white votes by 5 points (about 62% of the electorate in 2016) and still carry the Sunshine state. (“Will Trump Win Florida? An Update On The Numbers” — AMERICAN THINKER)


This will be my final post on this… I may update it [see above], but… between this and my other two posts (here and here) — the idea should suffice.

When gallop or other polling outfits call people to find out who they are voting for… they ask a series of questions about past voting habits to determine if they are a likely voter. Questions like:

  • Have you ever voted in your precinct or election district?
  • How often would you say you vote?
  • In the last election, did things come up that kept you from voting or did you vote?
  • Do you happen to know where people in your neighborhood go to vote?
  • ETC., ETC.

Someone who say “I haven’t voted in 20-years,” or, “I have never voted before,” or comments in the negative for the many questions like those exemplified above (ETC) are not included in the “likely voter.” And so, are not being represented in the stats used often by CNN, NYT, NPR, WaPo, etc.

Other factors is that in some major swing states new registrations for party affiliation — the GOP is outstripping the Dems. (However, this percentage disparity is not being polled for well — more the polls would have to add more Republican respondents to show the Party change.)

  • [I didn’t explain this well enough when I posted this early this morning. Polls are based on the previous 2-election cycles typically… so they stats are based on an understanding of voter turn out in the 2016 and 2018 election cycles. However, this election cycle even now is setting records, and this newer voter and change of Party is part of the mix — which undermines the stats being presented by the MSM.]
  • …at least 93 million people have already voted – about two-thirds of the total votes counted in the 2016 general election, according to Michael McDonald, a professor at the University of Florida who runs the U.S. Elections Project. (USA TODAY)

Why is this import. Some Trump Rallies will help shed some light on this:

FLORIDA

  • 15,852 voters identified
  • 31.8% were NOT Republicans
  • 16.3% were Democrat
  • 24.4% did not vote in 2016
  • 14.4% did not vote in the last 4 elections

PENNSYLVANIA

  • 14,257 sign-ups
  • 26.8% were NOT Republicans
  • 19.9% were Democrats
  • 22.5% did not vote in 2016
  • 15.3% did not vote in the last 4 elections

IOWA

  • 10,139 voters identified
  • 48.5% (!) NOT Republican
  • 29.4% (!) Democrat
  • 25.0% did not vote in 2016
  • 13.7% did not vote in the last 4 elections

(MSN NEWS)

ARIZONA

  • 23,591 signups for Bullhead City rally  
  • 24.0% NOT Republican
  • 45.3% (!) did not vote in 2016

In Rochester, MN:  

  • 53.6% NOT Republican

In Green Bay, WI:

  • 52.6% NOT Republican

(BREITBART)

The “did not vote in 2016” and the “last four elections” would disqualify them from being included in the likely voter polls. In other words, THIS GUY would not be included in the official polls:

Other head tilts are as follows, but remember, these are projections:

  • Republican Support: 77% (2016) vs. 96% (projected 2020). That’s 10,000,000 votes!
  • Evangelical Christians: 81% (2016) vs. 90% (projected 2020)
  • Hispanics: 28% (2016) vs. 36.5% (projected in 2020). A potential swing of 8.8 million from 2016.
  • Catholics: 45% (2016) vs. 53% (projected 2020). A potential swing of 12.4 million votes from 2016.
  • Black vote: 8% (2016) vs. 15% (projected 2020). A potential swing of 6.8 million votes from 2016.

I also think that the Libertarian party not having a “Gary Johnson” again to run against Trump will siphon more votes towards Trump rather than the Libertarian Party this year. Here are some more anecdotal evidences:

The WASHINGTON EXAMINER notes the latest Zogby poll:

The latest Zogby Poll just shared with Secrets had Trump’s approval at 52%. “The president has recorded his best job approval rating on record,” said pollster Jonathan Zogby.

What’s more, his approval rating among minorities was solid and, in the case of African Americans, shockingly high. Zogby said 36% of blacks approve of the president, as do 37% of Hispanics and 35% of Asians….

[Gallup has found whenever the incumbent has over 50%, he’s reelected.]

Via 100% FED-UP: During an interview on CNN, Democrat Congresswoman Debbie Dingell conceded that auto workers in Michigan “were very clear with me…they were voting for President Trump.”

Byron York over at WASHINGTON EXAMINER notes the spontaneous Trump rallies:

  • It was the biggest political rally no one saw. And gatherings like it have been happening for months in some of the places President Trump needs most to win if he is to be reelected. And, remarkably, the rallies are not the work of the Trump campaign. The road rally in Washington, Pennsylvania, was organized and staged by local Trump supporters, linked together largely by Facebook, who want to show that enthusiasm for the president in western Pennsylvania and surrounding areas is not just strong but stronger than it was when Trump eked out a victory in Pennsylvania in 2016. If Trump wins this critical state, it will owe in significant part to this organic movement and the energetic organizers who have nothing to do with his campaign.

And Biden had his largest rally yet the other day where he addressed 771 people in 365 cars (remember, Biden’s campaign set this up and Biden was there). But a non-Trump rally in Miami drew over 30,000 cars (RIGHT SCOOP). (We had almost 500-cars in my suburb of L.A. grassroots car rally.)

BLACKSPHERE also notes Michael Moore and others recognizing this groundswell of enthusiasm:

  • But I’m not the only one who predicted Trump would win in 2016. So did filmmaker and avowed Leftist Michael Moore. And he has predicted another Trump victory, based on trends. Moore recognizes the pro-Trump ferver in the battleground states. Further, he understands that the part of the iceberg under water in 2020 in far larger that that of 2016, as he feels the passion for Trump around the country. Moore knows this, because he actually talks to other former Leftists. And he is not getting the typical Leftists feedback. He described the excitement for Trump as, “off the charts.”

Here is another example of a lifelong Democrat changing voting patters: “A life-long Democrat who serves on the Flint, Michigan city council has just endorsed President Trump in a great speech…. Maurice Davis, who spoke at a rally held by Mike Pence, said he voted for Hillary Clinton four years ago but this year he is switching to President Trump” (RIGHT SCOOP).


ADDED TODAY @ 10:15pm


(RIGHT SCOOP) Miami-Dade county, which went overwhelmingly for Clinton in 2016, suddenly has Democrats very worried according to CNN:

Fraternal Order of Police Chairman Rob Pride tells CNN that FOP leadership does not tell members who the group will be endorsing, but rather it’s the other way around. And he says the FOP members numbering over over 330,000 voted overwhelmingly to endorse President Trump for this presidential election. (RIGHT SCOOP)

While I know my biases play a large roll in my outlook, one can see how — LIKE IN 2016 — Trump could win. BIGLY.

Also this from GATEWAY PUNDIT confirming some of the above percentages:

Robert Cahaly, the chief pollster at Trafalgar Polling, joined Laura Ingraham on Thursday to discuss the latest battleground polls. Trafalgar Polling correctly predicted Michigan and Wisconsin would go for Donald Trump in 2016. And today he still feels the same way.

[….]

Robert also had this shocking news on Hispanic and Black voters this year.

Robert Cahaly: What we’re seeing with the Hispanics, the blacks and now the youth vote is starting to move. The Hispanic numbers in both states (Michigan and Florida) is 41 for Trump and the African American number in Nevada was 20 and 27 in Florida.

[….]

And also Evangelicals are turning to Trump in larger numbers (79%) than in 2016!

And, as I noted in a previous post, one of the most reliable voting predictors is the one where people are asked “are they better of than 4-years ago.” Gallup also found that 56% Americans thought they were better off now than four years ago under Barack Obama and Joe Biden.

Two predictions – one by StatesPoll (left), and the other by Kevin McCullough (right) — CLICK TO ENLARGE:

Predicted 10/30

Predicted 10/28

I have to add this for the fun factor… this comes by way of “The Mooch’s” Twitter — he is showing a Biden landslide! Lol. I included Glenn Amurgis “crack pipe” comment:

Larry Sabato and his Crystal Ball are predicting an electoral landslide like he did four years ago (NEWSTHUD), click to enlarge:

CLINTON
BIDEN

This is what my WIFE has hope for:

RED STATE contributors all made their own predictions:

Robert A. Hahn, Pundit Emeritus

The secret of the Universe is not 42. It is 37: Donald Trump wins 37 states. Joe Biden wins 37% of the popular vote.

  • Winner: Donald J. Trump
  • Electoral Vote Count: 340 to 197
  • House: Dems
  • Senate: Reps
  • Upset: Martha McSally (R-AZ)

Susie Moore, Senior Copy Editor

  • Winner: Donald J. Trump
  • Electoral Vote Count: 295 to 243
  • House: Dems
  • Senate: Reps
  • Upset: John James (R-MI)

Scott Hounsell, Polling Nerd

This is my quasi-wishcasting guess.  Trump wins MN just so he can brag he did something Reagan couldn’t.

  • Winner: Donald J. Trump
  • Electoral Vote Count: 295 -243
  • House: Dems (Republicans pick up a couple of seats)
  • Senate: Reps 53-47 (After GA Runoff in January)
  • Upset:  Jason Lewis (R-MN)

Brad Slager – Felonious Work Opportunity Tax Reduction Hire

  • Winner: President Trump
  • EV Count: 281 – 257
  • House: DEMS Retain, GOP makes gains
  • Senate: GOP
  • Upset: Candidate – John James, MI / State – Minn. going to Trump
  • Epilogue – One unforeseen influence apart from the platforms is how many voters are motivated against the media this time around. Less the effect of Trump’s ”Fake News” claims it is more a reaction to the growing hostility coming from the news industry, and seen on social media from journalists.

Dan Spencer, Senior Contributing Editor

  • Winner: Donald J. Trump
  • Electoral Vote Count: 300 – 238
  • House:  Dems
  • Senate: Reps
  • Upset: Susan Collins (R-ME)

Shipwreckedcrew, Contributor Legal Affairs Pundit

  • Winner:  Donald J. Trump
  • Electoral Vote Count: 305 — 233
  • House:  GOP (less than 5 seat advantage)
  • Senate:  GOP (+2 net)
  • Upset: James (MI)

With all of the above, as I noted as well in my previous post, I would like to see the “forsureness” of a friend bumped down a notch. I will leave this and the other clips from Facebook up [even if Trump loses], out of fairness.